Russia today and yesterday….
Pres.
Obama in Oval Office, on phone with Vladimir Putin March 1, 2014 (White House
photo)
The Cold War is over, and besides,
it was just a 47-year-old tennis match between two old fuddy-duddies.
It’s easy for bright young people
today to dismiss the Cold War as something that happened after World War II and
before the Islamic terrorists decided that it was their time for history.
When
I was slogging through the snow along Schmidt’s Bank in Leningrad, USSR, doing
my job as a naval attaché in the Soviet Union (1983), young Columbia student
Barack Obama wrote a long article for the school magazine placing the blame for
U.S.-Soviet tensions largely on America's "war mentality" and the
"twisted logic" of the Cold War. President Reagan's defense buildup,
according to Obama, contributed to the "silent spread of militarism"
and reflected our "distorted national priorities" rather than what
should be our goal: a "nuclear free world." (Jonah Goldberg: Obama
in denial on Russia, USA Today, Mar 3, 2014.)
I
hear that sort of thing a lot. It’s as
if all those years of Korea, and Viet Nam, and the Berlin Blockade, Julius and
Ethel Rosenberg, the Truman Doctrine, the Cuban Missile Crisis, Francis Gary
Powers, the Hungarian Uprising, Prague Spring, the downing of KAL007, Congo,
Angola, the Arab-Israeli wars, the Suez Crisis and all the rest were just a
time of innocent jostling.
School Bomb Drill, 1950s
Most
people born since the Berlin Wall was torn down in 1989 cannot possibly
understand the real fear that Americans faced when Khrushchev was caught
sneaking missiles into Cuba, and President Kennedy declared a Quarantine. The prospect of nuclear weapons devastating
our cities, and America dissolving into a cloud of radioactive dust were very
real in 1962. After all, that was just
17 years after World War II.
Those
of us old enough to remember, and who were a part of all that confrontation
between Communists and Americans and our allies realize that this was nearly a
half-century of often deadly confrontation.
Mr.
Obama faulted President Reagan for his defense buildup, but Obama could not
have imagined the USSR that we saw in 1981. The Soviet defense establishment
was all they had going for them. Their economy was hollowed out. Competing with the U.S. was a killer for
them.
It’s
quite true that if one had the luxury of doing all that over again, we might
have done it all better. We now operate
from the smug knowledge that indeed the world did NOT blow up, even with all
those nuclear weapons. Communism, which
swallowed up country after country as World War II ended, did not go on to
swallow up the world. We stood our
ground, and our way of life and our economy turned out to be solid after
all. And communism folded like a cheap
umbrella, its hollowness, hypocrisy and evil exposed for all to see.
Now, along comes Vladimir Putin, and,
22 years after the USSR collapsed, and fresh from his triumph at the Sochi
Olympics, he finds himself wishing for the good old days of the Hammer and
Sickle.
Stalin hosted Roosevelt and Churchill in Yalta, Crimea, in 1945.
The
competition and conflict between Ukrainians and Russians is centuries old. The story of Crimea and Russia is also very
old, and when Khrushchev gave the Black Sea peninsula to the Ukrainian SSR in
1954, how was he to know that one day the Ukraine would be a separate country?
As
the current leader of what was the central part of Union of Socialist
Republics, Putin is not about to accept secondary status for his nation. He is not going to sit still while Ukrainians
fight amongst themselves just to the south. He also has the Chechens and other
angry people in the old Soviet sphere to deal with. And he is definitely not
going to listen to lectures from those busybody Americans.
And then there is President Obama. He may have learned some history since 1983,
but he thinks he is “the leader of the free world” and the “leader of the last
superpower standing” and entitled to advise and warn Putin.
If
I were Obama, I think I would be very circumspect about handing out advice or
warnings. If he warns, he must back up
his warnings with action that the U.S. and our allies will take. If he offers
advice, he must convey that this is the advice not of a nice guy from Chicago,
but the advice of the leader of a country which is ready to back up that advice
with concrete action.
We are the same Americans who saved Stalin and the USSR in World War II;
The same ones who forced Khrushchev to back down in Cuba in 1962.
And
if Obama is conversing with Putin, or even just talking to the press about this
business, he must get across the fact that he knows much more about
Russian-American relations than he thought
he knew in 1983.
What
can the U.S. and its allies do or threaten to do, in order to get the Russians
to moderate their warlike stance in Ukraine?
Of course, we
can enact sanctions.
We and our
allies can seek to isolate Russia, such as by excluding them from international
economic conferences, as several Republican senators have suggested.
We can freeze
bank accounts and restrict trade deals and privileges granted to Russians.
Putin cares very
much about Russia’s image in the world, or he wouldn’t have invested so much in
money and effort in Sochi. Obama
understands public relations. He can
study the best way to suggest that Putin is screwing himself and his country
with his actions. Obama can look for
ways to help Putin stay in charge, and act statesmanlike in dealing with
Ukraine, while still recognizing that there are benefits from “playing nice” in
the world today.
Sam Coulbourn
scoulbourn1@verizon.net
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